Wednesday, November 5, 2008

What will an Obama presidency look like?

Okay. Take a deep breath, all. It's time to put the emotion of the campaign behind us and take a dispassionate look at what an Obama presidency could look like. Using American history as my guide, here are the four presidents whose terms in office Obama's presidency could end up mirroring.

Scenario I - Obama as Jimmy Carter
The last Team Donkey candidate for president to receive more than 50% of the popular vote, Jimmy Carter began his presidency on a wave of popular support very similar to what Obama will have when he takes office in January. It didn't last. It took Carter less than two years to self destruct. It wasn't just that he was incompetent and clueless. He was incompetent, clueless, and sanctimonious.

The "center of gravity" moment of his presidency was his "malaise" speech. In that speech, he basically threw up his hands and said that the American century was over; we'd all better get used to living lesser lives.

Gasoline shortages. Double-digit inflation. Double-digit interest rates. Double-digit unemployment. And let's not forget his performance in Iran. First he threw the Shah under the bus, allowing Iran to fall into the hands of the Ayatollahs. Then he stood by, impotent, as our embassy was stormed and American citizens were taken hostage for over 440 days.

Given Obama's complete lack of experience, there is a fair chance that the Obama presidency could mirror the Carter presidency.

Scenario II - Obama as Bill Clinton
Bill Clinton took office in 1993 to the strains of "Don't stop thinkin' about tomorrow". To his supporters, Bill Clinton represented a new dawn after the "dark night" of Reagan/Bush (their perspective -- certainly NOT mine!).

But Clinton took this period of euphoria to mean that he had a mandate from the American people to implement all of his policies right now. He overstepped badly.

"Hillary Health" was a colossal flop; even the most liberal Democrats in Congress were scared to vote for its passage. Clinton's flip-flop on a middle class tax cut angered even more Americans. "Don't ask, don't tell" angered gays for not going far enough, but angered conservatives who thought it went too far. The Clintons were seen as arrogant, condescending, and out-of-touch with mainstream America.

When the Senate and the House of Representatives, which had been in Democrat hands for over 40 years, fell into Team Elephant hands in 1994, it looked like the Clinton presidency would be every bit the flop that the Carter presidency had been.

But fortune smiled on Bill Clinton. He was able to turn the corner, triangulate his way around the Republican-controlled Congress, and take credit for a Welfare Reform bill initiated by the Republicans. Fortune smiled again in the form of Bob Dole, the Team Elephant candidate for president in 1996. Dole's campaign made McCommie's look positively inspired by comparison.

Because Clinton was able to turn the corner from his early failures, he was able to complete his rather rocky presidency viewed by at least a portion of the population as a successful president.

Obama's cockiness could get him into the same sort of overstep quagmire that Clinton experienced. But if he is as savvy as Clinton, he too could weather the overstep, scale back his agenda -- perhaps even moving to the right on the issues -- and finish as a successful president.

Scenario III - Obama as FDR
FDR was the original cult of personality. He ran roughshod over the Congress and the Constitution for over 13 years. If he hadn't died in office, he might still be president today!

There is STILL a certain element of the population drinking the Roosevelt Kool-Aid, mostly on college campuses. But anyone who is a student of history know that Roosevelt's 13 year neo-fascist reign over America was the second time in our nation's history where we just missed being enslaved by a megalomaniac.

The FDR presidency had it's moments. The administration's execution of WWII was exemplary. And the worst excesses of the FDR administration were successfully thwarted by the Supreme Court. But FDR left us with a legacy that included Social Security, minimum wage laws, government favoritism towards organized labor, and a network of spies in the State Department (only proven conclusively in 1994 when the Venona papers (captured Soviet communications to Americans acting as spies for the USSR) were released).

Could Obama be the next FDR? It's certainly probable. After all, he's every bit the socialist/fascist in his core ideology that Roosevelt was. And he's quite the spell-binding speaker, as was FDR. With term limits on the office of the Presidency, we don't need to worry about 13 years of Obama. But he could be a two-term president and he could ram through a formidable FDR-like array of socialist nonsense in that time.

Scenario IV - Obama as Woodrow Wilson
This is the scenario that scares the Bejeezus out of me, because Obama's personality seems to mirror that of Wilson. Wilson projected an image of a calm, scholarly man. But he was a thug and a megalomaniac. His administration was marked by brutal physical attacks against those who opposed him. And he was, in point of fact, the very first Fascist; there was nothing implemented by Mussolini that wasn't a core plank of Wilson's administration.

Wilson leveraged WWI as an excuse to implement "war socialism". Trust me, he had no intention of "undoing" that economic stance upon completion of the war. But with the war ending as quickly as it did following the US entry into it, and with his subsequent stroke a year later, Wilson was thwarted in his goal to make America the first Fascist state.

This was the first attempt at enslaving the American people under a stateist ideology, and, had WWI lasted longer and Wilson remained healthy, it could have succeeded!

Obama shows every sign of being the petulant megalomaniac that Wilson was. Is he capable of being the thug that Wilson was? That I don't know. But if he is, we could be in for a WORLD of trouble.

Obama as Wilson is the most dangerous of all scenarios. Obama is much more popular than Wilson ever was (he squeaked by in the 1912 election only because of a third party run by Teddy Roosevelt against incumbent President Taft). Obama has another advantage Wilson lacked; he has Big Media (the BM for short) under his spell. They're more than happy to carry his water and run his propaganda as fact.

Watch carefully to see if Obama pushes for a return of the Fairness Doctrine, which, like all good Marxist efforts, has nothing to do with "fairness" and everything to do with removing all dissenting voices from the public discourse. If he pushes hard for the Fairness Doctrine within his first 100 days, we'll know that we've got Woodrow Wilson on our hands...and we're f***ed.

Okay, I've made my case. Let me know what you think about what an Obama presidency will look like. I'm curious to see if you see the different scenarios the same way I do.

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